Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.003314 0.003638 0.003984 0.004381 0.004826 0.005309 0.005875
2026-01-11 0.002734 0.003181 0.003693 0.004323 0.005085 0.005979 0.007117
2026-01-18 0.002399 0.002902 0.003504 0.004284 0.005276 0.006508 0.008170
2026-01-25 0.002150 0.002681 0.003340 0.004227 0.005405 0.006935 0.009105
2026-02-01 0.001983 0.002538 0.003249 0.004240 0.005605 0.007451 0.010191
2026-02-08 0.001822 0.002384 0.003124 0.004186 0.005697 0.007815 0.011088
2026-02-15 0.001675 0.002235 0.002990 0.004100 0.005729 0.008085 0.011862
2026-02-22 0.001583 0.002153 0.002937 0.004121 0.005907 0.008576 0.013012
2026-03-01 0.001529 0.002117 0.002945 0.004226 0.006216 0.009284 0.014578
2026-03-08 0.001431 0.002011 0.002844 0.004159 0.006249 0.009561 0.015460
2026-03-15 0.001341 0.001911 0.002742 0.004080 0.006255 0.009789 0.016275
2026-03-22 0.001272 0.001837 0.002675 0.004049 0.006333 0.010139 0.017338
2026-03-29 0.001221 0.001789 0.002648 0.004088 0.006539 0.010743 0.018976
2026-04-05 0.001152 0.001710 0.002569 0.004035 0.006588 0.011083 0.020171
2026-04-12 0.001092 0.001643 0.002503 0.003999 0.006661 0.011469 0.021501
2026-04-19 0.001035 0.001576 0.002431 0.003946 0.006698 0.011788 0.022734
2026-04-26 0.000996 0.001534 0.002399 0.003957 0.006851 0.012341 0.024527
2026-05-03 0.000947 0.001475 0.002335 0.003908 0.006884 0.012661 0.025858
2026-05-10 0.000897 0.001411 0.002258 0.003829 0.006854 0.012851 0.026920
2026-05-17 0.000868 0.001380 0.002235 0.003848 0.007015 0.013444 0.029000
2026-05-24 0.000854 0.001373 0.002254 0.003945 0.007339 0.014413 0.032131
2026-05-31 0.000815 0.001322 0.002191 0.003883 0.007332 0.014668 0.033528
2026-06-07 0.000777 0.001271 0.002126 0.003810 0.007298 0.014859 0.034788